Cup And Handle Pattern Detection Algorithm

The cup and handle pattern works best with cryptocurrencies that are growing their following. The more buying and selling interest that exists, the better the gauge of the pull between buyers and sellers. As the handle began to develop, its slight downward slope, coupled with decreasing trading volume, was a big clue that this may be a minor consolidation.

This means the inverted cup and handle is the opposite of the regular cup and handle. Instead of a ‘u’ shape, it forms an ‘n’ shape, with the handle bending slightly upwards on the chart. The shape is formed when there’s a price wave down, which is then followed by a stabilization period, followed again by a rally of approximately the same size as the prior trend.

Types Of The Cup And Handle Pattern

This was a relatively long handle, but once it had finished, Ethereum rallied on increasing volume. Here is an example of the cup and handle pattern in a Bitcoin chart from 2019. The risk and stop loss on the trade will be set at the low of the handle. This way, if the breakout fails and falls back below the handle’s low, then you can close out the trade at a small loss and move on to the next opportunity. An effective handle will drift lower, rather than trend lower. This sows doubt among short-sellers, who become nervous about the failed trend to the downside.

cup and handle pattern bullish

The Cup and Handle pattern can take between 30 to 50 candles to form on any given time resolution. As a general rule, cup and handle patterns are bullish price formations. The founder of the term, William O’Neil, identified four primary stages of this technical trading pattern.

The full pattern is complete when price breaks out of this consolidation in the direction of the cups advance. The cup and handle indicator is a technical pattern found on crypto price charts. It indicates the correction https://www.spcontractors.in/the-sentiment-of-the-bullish-hammer-candlestick/ of a previous uptrend and eventually signals its resumption. The pattern exhibits clearly defined entry and risk levels but can be difficult to interpret in crypto markets due to fragmented volume metrics.

The formation starts with at the lows as price recovers to form a rounding top like an upside U shape before selling off to form a bear flag. A cup and handle formation is considered significant when it follows an increasing price trend, ideally one that is only a few months Futures exchange old. The older the increase trend, the less likely it is that the cup and handle will be an accurate indicator. The trade volume should decrease along with the price during the cup and should increase rapidly near the end of the handle when the price begins to rise.

In most cases, the handle should not dip below the top third of the cup for it to be a cup and handle pattern. This algorithm works extremely well when backtesting using forex and stock data provided by Finnhub stock api. The accuracy rate for cup and handle pattern for forex and stock on Daily timeframe are 65% and 68% respectively. We automated this backtesting process using the pattern recognition API ofHarmonicPattern.com harmonic scanner. Opponents of the V-bottom argue that prices don’t stabilize before bottoming and believe the price may drop back to test that level. But, ultimately, if the price breaks above the handle, it signals an upside move.

You could also use the larger height for an aggressive target. Cup and handle patterns that form at the end of a trend should be avoided because the trend is likely to continue. The security posts a significant high in an uptrend that accelerated between one and three months prior. We always recommend you to backtest first the pattern and trade it a few times on a demo until you’re comfortable and have a good understanding of how to trade this setup. The best location for stop loss is below the rounded bottom, this will give you a 1 to 1 risk to reward ratio. If you want to have a much higher risk to reward ratio you can put the stop loss below the bottom of the handle.

Watch For Cup And Handle Patterns

The more prominent and pronounced the pattern, the easier it is to recognize during formation. Few are as easily recognizable and give as much lead time as a cup and handle pattern. The inverted cup and handle is the opposite version of bullish cup and handle.

  • When evaluating whether a cup and handle pattern is real, it is important to look at the shapes of both the cup and the handle.
  • The other examples of historical cup and handle patterns are in Gold.
  • We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading.
  • After peaking, the price of the stock will steadily trade downward after encountering selling pressure.

Unlike the bullish flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern, the Cup and Handle pattern takes a lot of time to develop. One of the simplest strategies is to wait for the cup to form and use its price data to set entry, exit and stop-loss points for the handle. An additional option is to stay in the trade as long as the price is trending in your favor.

Cup And Handle Chart Pattern: How To Use It In Crypto Trading

The important item to note is that the right side of the cup cut through the Ichimoku cloud and even made an attempt at trying to move beyond the cloud itself. RHI didn’t have enough gas in the tank and fell back into the cloud. Nevertheless, notice how once the handle completed and the stock sky rocketed off, the area around the cloud acted as support prior to the move up. As you can see from the above example, the cup is really a rounding of price action near a series of lows.

cup and handle pattern bullish

That being said, depending on your particular trading strategy, the portion of the pattern that is tradable can vary. Overall, the pattern resembles the look of a teacup with a handle and is regarded as a reliable signal to prompt bullish trades in most trading circles. Also, when the stock is breaking out, you should Currency Pair generally see a rush in turnover. Volume should ideally rise at least 40% above its 50-day average. Big caps sometimes can break out successfully with smaller volume surges. Be aware that the handle itself, which must stretch for a minimum five trading sessions, can morph into a base of its own in certain cases.

There are situations when the reliability of the cup and handle pattern is diminished. Once the cup is completed, the handle will begin to develop. These trend lines should have a slight downward slant to them.

Cup And Handle

Ideally, this decline should retrace about 1/3 of the previous advance and no more than 2/3 of the advance. The confirmation signal of the figure comes at the moment when the price action breaks the handle downwards. After Major World Indices the bearish Cup with Handle signal, you can start pursuing the bearish potential of the pattern. The confirmation of the pattern comes when the price action breaks the channel of the handle in the bearish direction.

If the stock closes below this level for any reason the pattern becomes invalid. As the rounding bottom comes to a close you will see the strong wall form and the cup advance. At that point we wait for a consolidation that creates the handle. The strength and the longevity of the prevailing trend is important as it will determine the success of the trade. How deep the rounded bottom goes will also influence our potential profit.

That’s not a problem; it’s often a stock’s way of offering a buy point that’s clearer or lower than that suggested by the larger pattern. You could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. The buy point occurs when the stock breaks out or moves upward through the old point of resistance .

Advantages Of Trading The Cup And Handle Pattern

It typically represents technical analysis rather than a shift in the stock’s fundamental value. As a result, once this post-recovery trading has finished an investor can expect the stock to resume its previous growth. Round bottom with a small retracement What you would want to see on a classic cup and handle is a nice round bottom with followed by a slight retracement. cup and handle pattern bullish Volume breakout After the formation of the cnh, the market will try to make a run, temporarily breaking the horizontal resistance. An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern and one of three triangle patterns used in technical analysis. The cup and handle pattern has been around for over 30 years and is widely followed by many technical traders.

Opening A Trade

If you do not agree with any term of provision of our Terms and Conditions you should not use our Site, Services, Content or Information. If you’re preparing for retirement, you’ll want to know what all of your options are. Many people want to see if they can swing trade within their Roth IRA to earn more money. Now, without further ado, let us discuss each of these three characteristics of the Cup and Handle Pattern to fully understand how you can interpret these while making trading decisions.

Limitations Of The Cup And Handle Pattern

Due to the rounded bottom of the pattern, you should use a curved drawing tool. The Keltner Channel or KC is a technical indicator that consists of volatility-based bands … The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but in the real world, perfect doesn’t exist. I have to be conservative as a counterbalance to the perma-bull gold bug universe but make no mistake. If and when Gold breaks out of this pattern, it will begin the most explosive move we’ve seen in 40 years.

Author: Paulina Likos

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